VIC3926· Pop. 3,421Mornington Peninsula

BALNARRING

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$2,830,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

0.8%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

8.6%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.6%

modelled estimate

AI insights for BALNARRING

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

BALNARRING shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$456/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+3.2%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

4.7

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

3.40%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+17.8%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

50 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

0.8%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$1250k

2021

$1635k

2022

$1848k

2023

$2400k

2025

$2830k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

BALNARRING is a VIC suburb offering lower rental yield and strong price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

Rental yield 0.8% with stable tenant demand
High annual growth of 8.6% — outperforming state average
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

High entry price may limit buyer pool
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,871/wk

$47k taxable p.a.

Renters

10.1%

86.0% owner-occupier

Median age

49.0 yrs

Unemployment

4.2%

Population growth

+1.5% p.a.

Investor-owned

17.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

84%

1% apartments

Degree qualified

24.7%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

13.6%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

1.9 ha

Large block

Household size

2.9 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

2.8%

Mostly long-term tenants

Market activity

Distance to CBD

61.3 km

Regional

Days on market

65 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

29.5%

Buyer's market

Walkability

0 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

17.0 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

13/km²

Rural / semi-rural

Schools in postcode 3926

🏫1 Primary

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (1)

Balnarring Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1084

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime

14/ 100

12.0 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Above average

1084ICSEA · national avg 1000

1 school in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent

9/ 100

🚆 0 train🚌 4 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

medium

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in BALNARRING

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