NSW2234· Pop. 30,648Sutherland

BARDEN RIDGE

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

51

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,665,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

3.1%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-11.2%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.4%

modelled estimate

AI insights for BARDEN RIDGE

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

BARDEN RIDGE shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$1,000/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+5.1%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-4.0

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.08%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

58 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$1084k
2021
$1405k
2022
$1425k
2023
$1400k
2024
$1650k
2025
$1875k
2026
$1665k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

BARDEN RIDGE is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 3.1% with stable tenant demand
  • Very low vacancy rate — high rental demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,743/wk

$94k taxable p.a.

Renters

9.7%

89.0% owner-occupier

Median age

41.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.1%

Population growth

+2.9% p.a.

Investor-owned

21.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

56%

28% apartments

Degree qualified

40.1%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

21.7%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

460 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

9.4%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

25.4 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

24 days

Fast-moving market

Auction clearance

66.7%

Strong demand

Walkability

0 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

16.6 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

2,638/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2234

🏫6 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚3 Combined
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (6)

Holy Family Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1098

Tharawal Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1085

Bangor Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1077

Illawong Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1069

Alfords Point Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1037

Menai Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1036

🎓Secondary (2)

Aquinas Catholic College

Catholic · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1082

Menai High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1046

📚Combined (3)

Inaburra School

Independent · Yrs K-12

ICSEA 1123

Shire Christian School

Independent · Yrs K-12

ICSEA 1116

Lucas Heights Community School

Government · Yrs K-12

ICSEA 1038

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
94/ 100

0.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Above average
1073ICSEA · national avg 1000

11 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Limited
39/ 100
🚆 3 train🚃 2 tram🚌 33 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

29

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

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Location

Properties in BARDEN RIDGE

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