NSW2207· Pop. 28,382Bayside (NSW)

BARDWELL PARK

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

56

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,400,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

2.6%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-15.4%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

2.2%

modelled estimate

AI insights for BARDWELL PARK

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

BARDWELL PARK shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$690/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+5.9%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-6.4

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.04%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.4%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

55 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.1%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$990k
2021
$1075k
2022
$1160k
2023
$1086k
2024
$1720k
2025
$1656k
2026
$1400k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

BARDWELL PARK is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 2.6% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,938/wk

$94k taxable p.a.

Renters

25.2%

72.0% owner-occupier

Median age

40.0 yrs

Unemployment

2.1%

Population growth

+2.9% p.a.

Investor-owned

21.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

69%

26% apartments

Degree qualified

51.0%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

18.8%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

410 m²

Compact block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

16.8%

High Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

12.2 km

Middle ring

Days on market

35 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

65.9%

Strong demand

Walkability

7 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

5.5 km

Near coast

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

2,661/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2207

🏫5 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚1 Combined
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (5)

St Gabriel's Catholic Primary School Bexley

Catholic · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1089

Bardwell Park Infants School

Government · Yrs K-2

ICSEA 1088

Bexley North Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1071

Carlton Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1041

Bexley Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1005

🎓Secondary (2)

Sydney Technical High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1136

Marist College Kogarah

Catholic · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1076

📚Combined (1)

St Mary and St Mina's Coptic Orthodox College

Independent · Yrs K-12

ICSEA 1123

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate
79/ 100

6.2 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Above average
1079ICSEA · national avg 1000

8 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good
58/ 100
🚆 3 train🚌 33 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

40

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in BARDWELL PARK

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