VIC3193· Pop. 20,207Bayside (Vic.)

BLACK ROCK NORTH

MaturePremium-priced suburb — lower upside but defensive and liquid

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$2,150,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

1.4%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-3.0%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.8%

modelled estimate

AI insights for BLACK ROCK NORTH

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

BLACK ROCK NORTH shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$577/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+3.0%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-0.8

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.10%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+2.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

55 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.4%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$1920k

2021

$2600k

2022

$2565k

2023

$2288k

2025

$2150k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

BLACK ROCK NORTH is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
Rental yield 1.4% with stable tenant demand
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

High entry price may limit buyer pool
Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,546/wk

$82k taxable p.a.

Renters

14.3%

83.4% owner-occupier

Median age

48.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.4%

Population growth

+2.6% p.a.

Investor-owned

19.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

68%

22% apartments

Degree qualified

39.0%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

20.7%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

460 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

12.1%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

19.3 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

26 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

65.7%

Strong demand

Walkability

62 / 100

Very walkable

Coastal proximity

9.8 km

Near coast

NBN technology

FTTP

Fastest — full fibre to premises

Population density

1,466/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 3193

🏫4 Primary🎓1 Secondary

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (4)

Beaumaris North Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1150

Black Rock Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1143

Stella Maris School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1137

Beaumaris Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1134

🎓Secondary (1)

Beaumaris Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1113

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate

64/ 100

10.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Top tier

1135ICSEA · national avg 1000

5 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Limited

36/ 100

🚆 5 train🚃 11 tram🚌 50 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in BLACK ROCK NORTH

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