VIC3023· Pop. 67,146Brimbank

CAIRNLEA

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$680,500

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

2.9%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

3.1%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

2.1%

modelled estimate

AI insights for CAIRNLEA

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

CAIRNLEA shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

AI insights locked

Investment analysis · Risk assessment · Suburb comparisons

Unlock with Premium

Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$381/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+1.7%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

3.0

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.35%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.9%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

50 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Real

0.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$580k

2021

$630k

2022

$635k

2023

$640k

2025

$681k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

CAIRNLEA is a metropolitan VIC suburb with steady capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
Rental yield 2.9% with stable tenant demand
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,905/wk

$76k taxable p.a.

Renters

21.8%

74.6% owner-occupier

Median age

35.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.0%

Population growth

+1.9% p.a.

Investor-owned

15.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

64%

20% apartments

Degree qualified

37.8%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

23.9%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

510 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

7.6%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

17.3 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

24 days

Fast-moving market

Auction clearance

64.7%

Balanced market

Walkability

59 / 100

Very walkable

Coastal proximity

14.4 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

2,050/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 3023

🏫9 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚3 Combined

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (9)

Kororoit Creek Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1082

Christ the Priest Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1062

St George Preca School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1047

Burnside Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1039

Cairnlea Park Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1023

Springside Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1019

St Peter Chanel School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1012

Deer Park West Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 989

Deer Park North Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 942

🎓Secondary (2)

Catholic Regional College Caroline Springs

Catholic · Yrs 7-10

ICSEA 1045

Lakeview Senior College

Government · Yrs 10-12

ICSEA 1004

📚Combined (3)

Southern Cross Grammar

Independent · Yrs Prep-12

ICSEA 1136

Creekside K-9 College

Government · Yrs Prep-9

ICSEA 1018

Brookside P-9 College

Government · Yrs Prep-9

ICSEA 1013

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime

55/ 100

8.1 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average

1031ICSEA · national avg 1000

14 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good

50/ 100

🚆 3 train🚃 6 tram🚌 40 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in CAIRNLEA

View listings

Local professionals

Connect with agents and building inspectors who operate in CAIRNLEA. Ask about off-market opportunities, rental appraisals, or arrange a building inspection.

Create a free account to message agents and inspectors directly.

Premium feature

Full suburb intelligence is available to Premium subscribers. Unlock unlimited research, scoring, and market signals.

Upgrade to Premium