NSW2218· Pop. 16,182Bayside (NSW)

CARLTON

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$838,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

4.3%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-1.4%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.5%

modelled estimate

AI insights for CARLTON

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

CARLTON shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$685/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+5.0%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

1.4

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.17%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.1%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+9.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

58 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

4.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

High supply risk

5-year price history

2020

$698k

2021

$720k

2022

$755k

2023

$1427k

2024

$873k

2025

$850k

2026

$838k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

CARLTON is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and moderate rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
Rental yield 4.3% with stable tenant demand
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,833/wk

$95k taxable p.a.

Renters

40.3%

56.7% owner-occupier

Median age

37.0 yrs

Unemployment

2.7%

Population growth

+3.0% p.a.

Investor-owned

18.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

64%

27% apartments

Degree qualified

44.5%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

27.1%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

550 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.6 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

17.7%

High Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

14.4 km

Middle ring

Days on market

28 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

66.3%

Strong demand

Walkability

17 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

5.2 km

Near coast

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

2,675/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2218

🏫1 Primary

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (1)

Carlton South Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1064

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate

68/ 100

9.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Above average

1064ICSEA · national avg 1000

1 school in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good

63/ 100

🚆 3 train🚃 2 tram🚌 35 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in CARLTON

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