NSW2294· Pop. 2,061Newcastle

CARRINGTON

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,118,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

3.3%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

19.6%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.8%

modelled estimate

AI insights for CARRINGTON

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

CARRINGTON shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$700/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+2.7%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

11.4

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

3.84%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.7%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

52 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.2%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$678k

2021

$825k

2022

$880k

2023

$840k

2024

$1100k

2025

$935k

2026

$1118k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

CARRINGTON is a NSW suburb offering lower rental yield and strong price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

Rental yield 3.3% with stable tenant demand
High annual growth of 19.6% — outperforming state average
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

High entry price may limit buyer pool
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,766/wk

$49k taxable p.a.

Renters

44.5%

53.5% owner-occupier

Median age

36.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.9%

Population growth

+1.2% p.a.

Investor-owned

15.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

78%

5% apartments

Degree qualified

14.8%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

11.2%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

1.1 ha

Large block

Household size

2.7 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

19.1%

High Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

118.0 km

Regional

Days on market

38 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

34.1%

Buyer's market

Walkability

61 / 100

Very walkable

Coastal proximity

1.9 km

Coastal

NBN technology

Fixed Wireless

Regional — wireless tower

Population density

61/km²

Rural / semi-rural

Schools in postcode 2294

🏫1 Primary

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (1)

Carrington Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 996

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate

65/ 100

3.6 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Average

996ICSEA · national avg 1000

1 school in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good

47/ 100

🚆 0 train🚌 4 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

medium

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

medium

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

high

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in CARRINGTON

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