CASTLE FORBES BAY
Investor score
51
Liveability score
35
Annual growth and vacancy rate are modelled estimates based on long-run state averages. Price and rent use real government data where available. This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.
Median price
Est.—
no recent data
Rent yield
Est.7.3%
modelled estimate
Annual growth
Est.1.4%
modelled estimate
Vacancy rate
Est.2.2%
modelled estimate
AI insights for CASTLE FORBES BAY
Investment analysis, risks & comparisons
CASTLE FORBES BAY shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.
Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.
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Median rent
$280/wk
weekly
Demand change
+1.2%
annual shift
Yield × growth index
4.3
combined signal
Net yield (est.)
6.65%
after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance
5-yr growth (CAGR)
+3.4%
est. compound, long-run avg
10-yr growth (CAGR)
+5.6%
est. compound, long-run avg
Rental demand
44 / 100
Moderate demand
Supply pipeline
Est.0.4%
new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate
Low supply pressure
5-year price history
No price history available.
Market overview
CASTLE FORBES BAY is a TAS suburb offering high rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.
Highlights
- Strong rental yield of 7.3%
- Access to national transport network and amenities
Risk factors
- Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
- Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions
Community profile
Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23Median household income
$1,129/wk
$37k taxable p.a.
Renters
13.9%
82.0% owner-occupier
Median age
48.0 yrs
Unemployment
7.7%
Population growth
+0.3% p.a.
Investor-owned
10.0%
of all dwellings (ATO)
Houses
86%
2% apartments
Degree qualified
15.4%
bachelor's or higher (ABS)
Work from home
8.1%
of employed residents (ABS Census)
Median lot size
1.1 ha
Large block
Household size
2.3 persons
avg per dwelling (ABS Census)
Short-term rental
1.1%
Mostly long-term tenants
Market activity
Distance to CBD
48.5 km
Regional
Days on market
79 days
Slower market
Auction clearance
13.4%
Buyer's market
Walkability
0 / 100
Car-dependent
Coastal proximity
36.4 km
Inland
NBN technology
FTTNStandard — fibre to node
Population density
63/km²
Rural / semi-rural
Schools in postcode 7116
🏫Primary (2)
Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Outer Regional
Government · Yrs K-6 · Outer Regional
ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.
Liveability & safety
School quality
Below average2 schools in postcode area
Source: ACARA My School 2025
Transit access
LimitedSource: State GTFS feeds
Gentrification signal
16
/ 100
Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.
Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality
Environmental risk
Flood risk
Source: State GIS flood zone data
Bushfire risk
Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data
Storm risk
Coastal exposure + state climate
Live suburb intelligence
Fetching live data…Location
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