NSW2154· Pop. 40,874Hornsby

CASTLE HILL

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

52

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,482,500

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

3.1%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-40.7%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.6%

modelled estimate

AI insights for CASTLE HILL

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

CASTLE HILL shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$880/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+4.4%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-18.8

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.34%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+1.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+7.7%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

59 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

3.1%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Moderate supply

5-year price history

2020
$1354k
2021
$1375k
2022
$897k
2023
$870k
2024
$1000k
2025
$2500k
2026
$1483k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

CASTLE HILL is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 3.1% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,551/wk

$97k taxable p.a.

Renters

22.9%

72.4% owner-occupier

Median age

42.0 yrs

Unemployment

2.2%

Population growth

+3.2% p.a.

Investor-owned

27.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

57%

36% apartments

Degree qualified

40.7%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

18.6%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

410 m²

Compact block

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

7.2%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

24.5 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

24 days

Fast-moving market

Auction clearance

72.4%

Strong demand

Walkability

93 / 100

Walker's paradise

Coastal proximity

24.5 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

2,018/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2154

🏫6 Primary🎓3 Secondary1 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (6)

Oakhill Drive Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1152

Excelsior Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1150

St Bernadette's Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1145

Castle Hill Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1128

Samuel Gilbert Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1128

St Angela's Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1126

🎓Secondary (3)

Oakhill College

Independent · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1124

Castle Hill High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1121

Gilroy Catholic College

Catholic · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1096

Special (1)

St Gabriel's School for students with special needs

Independent · Yrs U

ICSEA 1069

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
92/ 100

0.9 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Top tier
1124ICSEA · national avg 1000

10 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good
61/ 100
🚆 3 train🚃 1 tram🚌 31 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

28

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in CASTLE HILL

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