QLD4871· Pop. 10,798Carpentaria

ESMERALDA

EmergingAffordable, high-yield, growing population — early-cycle opportunity

Investor score

55

Annual growth and vacancy rate are modelled estimates based on long-run state averages. Price and rent use real government data where available. This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

no recent data

Rent yield

2.2%

rent real · price estimated

Annual growth

6.6%

modelled estimate

Vacancy rate

1.5%

modelled estimate

AI insights for ESMERALDA

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

ESMERALDA shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Price figures are estimated — suburb-level data not available for this state. Verify with Domain or REA.

Median rent

$170/wk

QLD RTA Bond Stats · Mar 2026

Demand change

+7.2%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

4.4

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

5.75%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.9%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

62 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Real

1.5%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

No price history available.

Market overview

ESMERALDA is a QLD suburb offering lower rental yield and strong price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

  • Rental yield 2.2% with stable tenant demand
  • Consistent annual growth of 6.6%
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,250/wk

$43k taxable p.a.

Renters

27.5%

63.0% owner-occupier

Median age

42.0 yrs

Unemployment

6.8%

Population growth

+1.6% p.a.

Investor-owned

11.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

77%

6% apartments

Degree qualified

12.1%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

11.9%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

2.2 ha

Large block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

3.7%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

1376.3 km

Regional

Days on market

49 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

29.8%

Buyer's market

Walkability

0 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

23.3 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

49/km²

Rural / semi-rural

Schools in postcode 4871

🏫14 Primary📚1 Combined
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (14)

Mirriwinni State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1026

McDonnell Creek State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1010

Aloomba State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 972

Julatten State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 969

Lakeland State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 949

Georgetown State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 930

Mount Molloy State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 923

Bellenden Ker State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 909

Mena Creek State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 907

Mundoo State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 901

Mount Surprise State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 862

Chillagoe State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 827

Croydon State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 787

Forsayth State School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

📚Combined (1)

Yarrabah State School

Government · Yrs Prep-10

ICSEA 688

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate
67/ 100

10.0 offences / 100 persons

Source: QLD Police · 2024-25

School quality

Below average
904ICSEA · national avg 1000

14 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent
15/ 100
🚆 0 train🚌 4 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

11

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

high

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

high

Coastal exposure + state climate

🌀

Cyclone risk

high

QLD/NT tropical cyclone zone

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Location

Properties in ESMERALDA

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