VIC3699· Pop. 1,242East Gippsland

FALLS CREEK

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

44

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$535,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

2.7%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

0.3%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.6%

modelled estimate

AI insights for FALLS CREEK

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

FALLS CREEK shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$280/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+0.4%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

1.5

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

3.40%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+10.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.1%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

47 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

0.7%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$330k
2021
$446k
2022
$573k
2023
$532k
2025
$535k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

FALLS CREEK is a VIC suburb offering lower rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

  • Rental yield 2.7% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,017/wk

$45k taxable p.a.

Renters

27.5%

70.2% owner-occupier

Median age

41.0 yrs

Unemployment

5.6%

Population growth

+1.3% p.a.

Investor-owned

15.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

84%

8% apartments

Degree qualified

25.5%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

18.0%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

3.0 ha

Large block

Household size

2.6 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

1.5%

Mostly long-term tenants

Market activity

Distance to CBD

233.0 km

Regional

Days on market

67 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

44.1%

Buyer's market

Walkability

0 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

191.8 km

Inland

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

77/km²

Rural / semi-rural

Schools in postcode 3699

🏫2 Primary🎓1 Secondary📚1 Combined
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (2)

Falls Creek Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1065

Mount Beauty Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1056

🎓Secondary (1)

Mount Beauty Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1040

📚Combined (1)

Outdoor School

Government

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
100/ 100

3.3 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Above average
1054ICSEA · national avg 1000

3 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent
13/ 100
🚆 0 train🚌 4 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

25

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

medium

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

none

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in FALLS CREEK

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