NSW2232· Pop. 35,304Sutherland

GRAYS POINT

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

54

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$945,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

4.1%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-27.8%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.4%

modelled estimate

AI insights for GRAYS POINT

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

GRAYS POINT shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$750/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+2.5%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-11.8

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

0.99%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

57 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$880k
2021
$700k
2022
$910k
2023
$900k
2024
$875k
2025
$1308k
2026
$945k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

GRAYS POINT is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and moderate rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 4.1% with stable tenant demand
  • Very low vacancy rate — high rental demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,157/wk

$94k taxable p.a.

Renters

27.8%

69.5% owner-occupier

Median age

39.0 yrs

Unemployment

1.8%

Population growth

+2.9% p.a.

Investor-owned

16.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

60%

28% apartments

Degree qualified

39.7%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

20.0%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

430 m²

Compact block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

12.2%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

25.3 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

23 days

Fast-moving market

Auction clearance

66.7%

Strong demand

Walkability

2 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

14.3 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

2,636/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2232

🏫8 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚1 Combined3 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (8)

Grays Point Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1113

St Patrick's Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1106

Kareela Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1102

Sutherland Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1101

Loftus Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1079

Sutherland North Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1073

Woronora River Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1054

Kirrawee Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1050

🎓Secondary (2)

St Patrick's College Sutherland

Catholic · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1093

Kirrawee High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1092

📚Combined (1)

Royal National Park Environmental Education Centre

Government

Special (3)

Minerva School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 1039

Bates Drive School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 1018

Cook School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 956

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
94/ 100

0.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Above average
1067ICSEA · national avg 1000

13 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Excellent
95/ 100
🚆 4 train🚌 45 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

34

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in GRAYS POINT

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