NSW2230· Pop. 1,375Sutherland

GREENHILLS BEACH

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

53

Liveability score

62

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$1,294,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

Real

3.1%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-33.7%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

1.5%

modelled estimate

AI insights for GREENHILLS BEACH

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

GREENHILLS BEACH shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Investment analysis · Risk assessment · Suburb comparisons

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$785/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+4.8%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-15.3

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.17%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

-8.1%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

57 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$1.5m
2021
$1.97m
2022
$7.28m
2023
$3.75m
2024
$1.85m
2025
$1.95m
2026
$1.29m

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

GREENHILLS BEACH is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 3.1% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,199/wk

$94k taxable p.a.

Renters

32.9%

65.2% owner-occupier

Median age

42.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.0%

Population growth

+2.9% p.a.

Investor-owned

21.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

60%

28% apartments

Degree qualified

49.4%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

27.4%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

560 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

14.8%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

19.1 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

33 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

66.7%

Strong demand

Walkability

2 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

7.4 km

Near coast

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

2,635/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2230

🏫7 Primary🎓4 Secondary
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (7)

St Francis de Sales Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1124(90%)
175 students15:1 student–teacher53% girls48% top SEA quarter

St Aloysius Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1123(90%)
178 students15:1 student–teacher54% girls48% top SEA quarter

Burraneer Bay Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1101(84%)
573 students18:1 student–teacher48% girls40% top SEA quarter

Cronulla South Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1093(82%)
261 students17:1 student–teacher47% girls38% top SEA quarter

Woolooware Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1086(80%)
462 students18:1 student–teacher48% girls35% top SEA quarter

Bundeena Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Inner Regional

ICSEA 1067(74%)
174 students16:1 student–teacher44% girls28% top SEA quarter

Cronulla Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1064(73%)
516 students18:1 student–teacher50% girls24% top SEA quarter

🎓Secondary (4)

St Aloysius College Cronulla

Catholic · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1089(81%)
482 students12:1 student–teacher47% girls32% top SEA quarter

Our Lady of Mercy Catholic College Burraneer

Catholic · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1086(80%)
421 students12:1 student–teacher100% girls33% top SEA quarter

Woolooware High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1063(73%)
788 students13:1 student–teacher47% girls24% top SEA quarter

Cronulla High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1050(68%)
1,205 students15:1 student–teacher50% girls20% top SEA quarter

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
94/ 100

0.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Above average
1086ICSEA · national avg 1000

11 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent
19/ 100
🚆 4 train🚃 2 tram🚌 41 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

40

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

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