NSW2171· Pop. 38,882Liverpool

HORNINGSEA PARK

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

58

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,306,750

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

3.2%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-4.5%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.8%

modelled estimate

AI insights for HORNINGSEA PARK

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

HORNINGSEA PARK shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$800/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+5.2%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-0.7

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.52%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.8%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+7.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

58 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

3.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Moderate supply

5-year price history

2020
$780k
2021
$942k
2022
$1065k
2023
$1065k
2024
$1140k
2025
$1369k
2026
$1307k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

HORNINGSEA PARK is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 3.2% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,379/wk

$98k taxable p.a.

Renters

19.4%

78.4% owner-occupier

Median age

33.0 yrs

Unemployment

1.9%

Population growth

+3.3% p.a.

Investor-owned

20.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

54%

35% apartments

Degree qualified

50.1%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

18.4%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

410 m²

Compact block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

9.5%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

24.2 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

34 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

72.1%

Strong demand

Walkability

4 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

18.7 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

2,065/km²

Dense urban

Schools in postcode 2171

🏫6 Primary🎓3 Secondary📚1 Combined
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (6)

Holy Spirit Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1059

Good Shepherd Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1037

Cecil Hills Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1017

Greenway Park Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1011

Middleton Grange Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1010

Hoxton Park Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 985

🎓Secondary (3)

Clancy Catholic College

Catholic · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1054

Cecil Hills High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 986

John Edmondson High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 982

📚Combined (1)

Thomas Hassall Anglican College

Independent · Yrs K-12

ICSEA 1083

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate
74/ 100

2.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Average
1022ICSEA · national avg 1000

10 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good
40/ 100
🚆 4 train🚌 50 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

42

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

low

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in HORNINGSEA PARK

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