VIC3199· Pop. 56,127Frankston

KARINGAL CENTRE

MaturePremium-priced suburb — lower upside but defensive and liquid

Investor score

61

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,170,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

1.6%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

0.9%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

2.3%

modelled estimate

AI insights for KARINGAL CENTRE

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

KARINGAL CENTRE shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$350/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+3.4%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

1.2

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.72%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.5%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

53 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Real

1.4%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$860k
2021
$1150k
2022
$1200k
2023
$1150k
2025
$1170k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

KARINGAL CENTRE is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 1.6% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,522/wk

$81k taxable p.a.

Renters

31.9%

64.4% owner-occupier

Median age

40.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.2%

Population growth

+2.6% p.a.

Investor-owned

11.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

64%

22% apartments

Degree qualified

46.1%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

27.6%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

580 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

6.6%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

41.7 km

Regional

Days on market

33 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

65.7%

Strong demand

Walkability

63 / 100

Very walkable

Coastal proximity

12.6 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

1,470/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 3199

🏫12 Primary🎓4 Secondary3 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (12)

Derinya Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1097

Overport Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1058

St Augustine's School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1053

St John's School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1053

Frankston Heights Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1043

St Francis Xavier School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1042

Kingsley Park Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1027

Frankston Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1015

Karingal Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 985

Ballam Park Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 963

Karingal Heights Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 950

Frankston East Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 943

🎓Secondary (4)

Frankston High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1067

John Paul College

Catholic · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1055

Mount Erin Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 985

McClelland Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 981

Special (3)

David Scott School

Independent · Yrs 10-12

ICSEA 987

Frankston Special Developmental School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 969

Naranga School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 945

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime
3/ 100

13.1 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average
1011ICSEA · national avg 1000

19 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Limited
33/ 100
🚆 5 train🚃 10 tram🚌 53 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

45

/ 100

Moderate momentum

Moderate indicators of demographic change. Young professionals, rising degree rates, and reasonable transit suggest gradual improvement.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in KARINGAL CENTRE

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