VIC3533· Pop. 744Swan Hill

LAKE TYRRELL

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$190,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

3.8%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

0.7%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

2.0%

modelled estimate

AI insights for LAKE TYRRELL

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

LAKE TYRRELL shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$140/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+2.4%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

2.2

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

4.54%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+12.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

49 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

0.9%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$107k

2021

$125k

2022

$173k

2023

$188k

2025

$190k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

LAKE TYRRELL is a VIC suburb offering moderate rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

Rental yield 3.8% with stable tenant demand
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$941/wk

$36k taxable p.a.

Renters

14.6%

77.3% owner-occupier

Median age

51.0 yrs

Unemployment

4.5%

Population growth

+0.5% p.a.

Investor-owned

8.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

77%

6% apartments

Degree qualified

14.2%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

16.2%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

2.5 ha

Large block

Household size

2.7 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

0.3%

Mostly long-term tenants

Market activity

Distance to CBD

330.0 km

Regional

Days on market

41 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

40.3%

Buyer's market

Walkability

0 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

324.5 km

Inland

NBN technology

Satellite

Remote — satellite connection

Population density

33/km²

Rural / semi-rural

Schools in postcode 3533

🏫1 Primary📚1 Combined

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (1)

St Mary's School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 993

📚Combined (1)

Tyrrell College

Government · Yrs Prep-12

ICSEA 963

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe

91/ 100

4.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average

978ICSEA · national avg 1000

2 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent

5/ 100

🚆 0 train🚌 1 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

none

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in LAKE TYRRELL

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