VIC3821· Pop. 3,142Baw Baw

LARDNER

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Annual growth and vacancy rate are modelled estimates based on long-run state averages. Price and rent use real government data where available. This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

—

no recent data

Rent yield

7.3%

rent real · price estimated

Annual growth

1.1%

modelled estimate

Vacancy rate

2.0%

modelled estimate

AI insights for LARDNER

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

LARDNER shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Price figures are estimated — suburb-level data not available for this state. Verify with Domain or REA.

Median rent

$280/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+0.8%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

4.2

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

4.63%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.7%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

46 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

0.3%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

No price history available.

Market overview

LARDNER is a VIC suburb offering high rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

Strong rental yield of 7.3%
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,834/wk

$45k taxable p.a.

Renters

7.9%

87.8% owner-occupier

Median age

44.0 yrs

Unemployment

5.6%

Population growth

+1.3% p.a.

Investor-owned

14.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

82%

8% apartments

Degree qualified

30.4%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

15.3%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

2.3 ha

Large block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

3.3%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

87.0 km

Regional

Days on market

79 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

45.4%

Buyer's market

Walkability

6 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

77.7 km

Inland

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

144/km²

Low density

Schools in postcode 3821

🏫4 Primary

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (4)

Lardner and District Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1007

Buln Buln Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1000

Ellinbank Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 985

Nilma Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 979

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe

82/ 100

5.5 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average

993ICSEA · national avg 1000

4 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent

13/ 100

🚆 0 train🚌 4 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

medium

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

none

Coastal exposure + state climate

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Location

Properties in LARDNER

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