NSW2865· Pop. 927Cabonne

MANILDRA

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$490,000

NSW VG · 2025

Rent yield

5.9%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

20.3%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.6%

modelled estimate

AI insights for MANILDRA

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

MANILDRA shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$560/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+2.0%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

13.1

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

3.08%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+9.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.0%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

46 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

0.5%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$300k

2021

$315k

2022

$390k

2023

$399k

2024

$408k

2025

$490k

Source: NSW VG · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

MANILDRA is a NSW suburb offering high rental yield and strong price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

Strong rental yield of 5.9%
High annual growth of 20.3% — outperforming state average
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,434/wk

$43k taxable p.a.

Renters

13.8%

79.7% owner-occupier

Median age

44.0 yrs

Unemployment

5.0%

Population growth

+0.8% p.a.

Investor-owned

14.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

87%

7% apartments

Degree qualified

24.5%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

16.9%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

2.6 ha

Large block

Household size

2.8 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

0.9%

Mostly long-term tenants

Market activity

Distance to CBD

245.0 km

Regional

Days on market

59 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

38.7%

Buyer's market

Walkability

0 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

245.0 km

Inland

NBN technology

Fixed Wireless

Regional — wireless tower

Population density

55/km²

Rural / semi-rural

Schools in postcode 2865

🏫2 Primary

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (2)

St Joseph's Catholic Primary School Manildra

Catholic · Yrs 1-6

ICSEA 1000

Manildra Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 947

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe

100/ 100

0.0 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Average

974ICSEA · national avg 1000

2 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent

9/ 100

🚆 0 train🚌 2 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

medium

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

none

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in MANILDRA

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