VIC3931· Pop. 25,759Mornington Peninsula

MORNINGTON

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,102,500

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

2.9%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

1.5%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

2.2%

modelled estimate

AI insights for MORNINGTON

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

MORNINGTON shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$619/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+2.4%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

2.2

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

5.07%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

50 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

0.8%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$894k

2021

$1100k

2022

$1160k

2023

$1070k

2025

$1103k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

MORNINGTON is a VIC suburb offering lower rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

Rental yield 2.9% with stable tenant demand
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

High entry price may limit buyer pool
Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,451/wk

$47k taxable p.a.

Renters

21.3%

73.3% owner-occupier

Median age

50.0 yrs

Unemployment

4.2%

Population growth

+1.5% p.a.

Investor-owned

13.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

91%

1% apartments

Degree qualified

25.5%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

14.6%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

2.1 ha

Large block

Household size

2.9 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

10.6%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

46.9 km

Regional

Days on market

67 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

29.4%

Buyer's market

Walkability

68 / 100

Very walkable

Coastal proximity

5.7 km

Near coast

NBN technology

Fixed Wireless

Regional — wireless tower

Population density

118/km²

Low density

Schools in postcode 3931

🏫4 Primary🎓2 Secondary⭐1 Special

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (4)

St Macartan's School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1084

Mornington Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1062

Benton Junior College

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1040

Mornington Park Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 997

🎓Secondary (2)

Padua College

Catholic · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1064

Mornington Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1004

⭐Special (1)

Mornington Special Developmental School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 920

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime

14/ 100

12.0 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average

1024ICSEA · national avg 1000

7 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Limited

35/ 100

🚆 0 train🚌 4 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

medium

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

medium

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

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