VIC3156· Pop. 38,484Casey

MOUNTAIN GATE

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

47

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$821,200

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

2.5%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-1.8%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.5%

modelled estimate

AI insights for MOUNTAIN GATE

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

MOUNTAIN GATE shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$390/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+1.7%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

0.3

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.65%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+2.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

52 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.5%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Moderate supply

5-year price history

2020
$735k
2021
$865k
2022
$885k
2023
$852k
2025
$821k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

MOUNTAIN GATE is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 2.5% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,948/wk

$78k taxable p.a.

Renters

18.1%

79.6% owner-occupier

Median age

40.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.9%

Population growth

+2.1% p.a.

Investor-owned

14.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

59%

24% apartments

Degree qualified

39.4%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

23.5%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

510 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

6.3%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

31.2 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

26 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

67.6%

Strong demand

Walkability

3 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

24.6 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTP

Fastest — full fibre to premises

Population density

1,737/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 3156

🏫8 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚1 Combined1 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (8)

St John the Baptist School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1075

Mountain Gate Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1072

Lysterfield Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1064

Ferntree Gully North Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1055

Upper Ferntree Gully Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1038

Kent Park Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1012

Wattle View Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1006

Fairhills Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1004

🎓Secondary (2)

St Joseph's College

Catholic · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1052

The Avenue School

Independent · Yrs 11

ICSEA 999

📚Combined (1)

Heritage College Knox

Independent · Yrs Prep-12

ICSEA 1059

Special (1)

Eastern Ranges School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 1031

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
90/ 100

4.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average
1039ICSEA · national avg 1000

12 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Limited
20/ 100
🚆 2 train🚃 7 tram🚌 25 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

35

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

low

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

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Location

Properties in MOUNTAIN GATE

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