VIC3805· Pop. 58,600Casey

NARRE WARREN SOUTH

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

58

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$868,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

2.3%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

2.9%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

2.1%

modelled estimate

AI insights for NARRE WARREN SOUTH

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

NARRE WARREN SOUTH shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$380/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+2.4%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

2.6

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.19%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

59 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.2%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$660k
2021
$750k
2022
$803k
2023
$820k
2025
$868k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

NARRE WARREN SOUTH is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 2.3% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,942/wk

$89k taxable p.a.

Renters

22.6%

75.2% owner-occupier

Median age

35.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.9%

Population growth

+3.6% p.a.

Investor-owned

13.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

47%

36% apartments

Degree qualified

42.6%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

23.3%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

500 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.3 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

7.8%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

38.9 km

Regional

Days on market

29 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

75.8%

Strong demand

Walkability

33 / 100

Some errands walkable

Coastal proximity

20.1 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

995/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 3805

🏫8 Primary🎓1 Secondary📚2 Combined3 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (8)

Trinity Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1070

Don Bosco School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1047

Oatlands Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1043

Fleetwood Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 998

Maramba Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 995

Hillsmeade Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 994

Strathaird Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 975

Fountain Gate Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 936

🎓Secondary (1)

Fountain Gate Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 938

📚Combined (2)

Heritage College

Independent · Yrs Prep-12

ICSEA 1058

Narre Warren South P-12 College

Government · Yrs Prep-12

ICSEA 918

Special (3)

Dandenong Valley Special Developmental School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 990

Foundation Learning Centre

Independent · Yrs 11-12

ICSEA 968

Berry Street School

Independent · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 894

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
90/ 100

4.7 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average
987ICSEA · national avg 1000

14 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good
55/ 100
🚆 5 train🚃 17 tram🚌 53 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

38

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

low

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

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Location

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