NEWCASTLE
Investor score
53
Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.
Median price
$1,060,000
NSW VG · 2026
Rent yield
3.4%
computed from govt data
Annual growth
-19.4%
annualised from govt data
Vacancy rate
2.1%
modelled estimate
AI insights for NEWCASTLE
Investment analysis, risks & comparisons
NEWCASTLE shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.
Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.
Median rent
$700/wk
NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026
Demand change
+3.6%
annual shift
Yield × growth index
-8.0
combined signal
Net yield (est.)
3.21%
after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance
5-yr growth (CAGR)
-3.6%
est. compound, long-run avg
10-yr growth (CAGR)
+4.7%
est. compound, long-run avg
Rental demand
50 / 100
Moderate demand
Supply pipeline
Est.1.0%
new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate
Low supply pressure
5-year price history
Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources
Market overview
NEWCASTLE is a NSW suburb offering lower rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.
Highlights
- Rental yield 3.4% with stable tenant demand
- Access to national transport network and amenities
Risk factors
- High entry price may limit buyer pool
- Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
- Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions
Community profile
Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23Median household income
$1,933/wk
$57k taxable p.a.
Renters
53.4%
45.0% owner-occupier
Median age
38.0 yrs
Unemployment
5.1%
Population growth
+1.5% p.a.
Investor-owned
19.0%
of all dwellings (ATO)
Houses
78%
8% apartments
Degree qualified
29.8%
bachelor's or higher (ABS)
Work from home
18.5%
of employed residents (ABS Census)
Median lot size
790 m²
Large block
Household size
2.4 persons
avg per dwelling (ABS Census)
Short-term rental
19.7%
High Airbnb activity
Market activity
Distance to CBD
116.8 km
Regional
Days on market
40 days
Normal turnover
Auction clearance
45.8%
Buyer's market
Walkability
89 / 100
Walker's paradise
Coastal proximity
500 m
Beachfront
NBN technology
FTTPFastest — full fibre to premises
Population density
414/km²
Low density
Schools in postcode 2300
🏫Primary (1)
Newcastle East Public School
Government · Yrs K-6
📚Combined (1)
Newcastle Grammar School
Independent · Yrs K-12
⭐Special (1)
Alesco Secondary College
Independent · Yrs 9-12
ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.
Liveability & safety
Safety index
Moderate3.6 offences / 100 persons
Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25
School quality
Above average3 schools in postcode area
Source: ACARA My School 2025
Transit access
GoodSource: State GTFS feeds
Gentrification signal
23
/ 100
Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.
Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality
Environmental risk
Flood risk
Source: State GIS flood zone data
Bushfire risk
Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data
Storm risk
Coastal exposure + state climate
Live suburb intelligence
Fetching live data…Location
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