PAKENHAM
Investor score
58
Liveability score
42
Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.
Median price
Real$715,000
Verified research · 2026
Rent yield
Real4.1%
computed from govt data
Annual growth
Real8.3%
annualised from govt data
Vacancy rate
Est.2.2%
modelled estimate
AI insights for PAKENHAM
Investment analysis, risks & comparisons
PAKENHAM shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.
Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.
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Median rent
$560/wk
DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025
Demand change
+2.9%
annual shift
Yield × growth index
6.2
combined signal
Net yield (est.)
2.37%
after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance
5-yr growth (CAGR)
+6.2%
est. compound, long-run avg
10-yr growth (CAGR)
+4.3%
est. compound, long-run avg
Rental demand
58 / 100
Strong demand
Supply pipeline
Est.1.3%
new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate
Low supply pressure
5-year price history
Source: Verified research · 2026 · all sources
Market overview
PAKENHAM is a metropolitan VIC suburb with strong capital growth momentum and moderate rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.
Highlights
- Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
- Rental yield 4.1% with stable tenant demand
- High annual growth of 8.3% — outperforming state average
- Access to national transport network and amenities
Risk factors
- Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions
Community profile
Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23Median household income
$1,677/wk
$88k taxable p.a.
Renters
30.2%
65.5% owner-occupier
Median age
33.0 yrs
Unemployment
3.7%
Population growth
+3.4% p.a.
Investor-owned
8.0%
of all dwellings (ATO)
Houses
50%
36% apartments
Degree qualified
42.2%
bachelor's or higher (ABS)
Work from home
28.7%
of employed residents (ABS Census)
Median lot size
600 m²
Standard block
Household size
2.3 persons
avg per dwelling (ABS Census)
Short-term rental
4.9%
Some Airbnb activity
Market activity
Distance to CBD
51.6 km
Regional
Days on market
14 days
Fast-moving market
Auction clearance
75.3%
Strong demand
Walkability
0 / 100
Car-dependent
Coastal proximity
34.7 km
Inland
NBN technology
FTTNStandard — fibre to node
Population density
969/km²
Suburban
Schools in postcode 3810
🏫Primary (8)
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs Prep-5 · Major Cities
Pakenham Lakeside Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities
Pakenham Springs Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities
Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities
🎓Secondary (2)
Government · Yrs 7-11 · Major Cities
Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities
📚Combined (2)
Independent · Yrs Prep-12 · Major Cities
Independent · Yrs Prep-12 · Major Cities
ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.
Liveability & safety
Safety index
High crime11.9 offences / 100 persons
Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025
School quality
Average12 schools in postcode area
Source: ACARA My School 2025
Transit access
ExcellentSource: State GTFS feeds
Gentrification signal
37
/ 100
Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.
Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality
Environmental risk
Flood risk
Source: State GIS flood zone data
Bushfire risk
Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data
Storm risk
Coastal exposure + state climate
Live suburb intelligence
Fetching live data…Location
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