VIC3810· Pop. 55,588Cardinia

PAKENHAM

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$708,500

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

3.8%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

5.2%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

2.2%

modelled estimate

AI insights for PAKENHAM

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

PAKENHAM shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$512/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+2.9%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

4.5

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.37%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

58 / 100

Strong demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.3%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$525k

2021

$600k

2022

$652k

2023

$640k

2025

$709k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

PAKENHAM is a metropolitan VIC suburb with steady capital growth momentum and moderate rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
Rental yield 3.8% with stable tenant demand
Consistent annual growth of 5.2%
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,677/wk

$88k taxable p.a.

Renters

30.2%

65.5% owner-occupier

Median age

33.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.7%

Population growth

+3.4% p.a.

Investor-owned

8.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

50%

36% apartments

Degree qualified

42.2%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

28.7%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

600 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.3 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

4.9%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

51.6 km

Regional

Days on market

29 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

75.3%

Strong demand

Walkability

0 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

34.7 km

Inland

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

969/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 3810

🏫8 Primary🎓2 Secondary📚2 Combined

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (8)

John Henry Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1020

Kuyim Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-5

ICSEA 1019

Pakenham Lakeside Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1007

Pakenham Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 999

Pakenham Springs Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 995

St Patrick's School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 982

Pakenham Hills Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 978

Pakenham Consolidated School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 965

🎓Secondary (2)

Edenbrook Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-11

ICSEA 1002

Pakenham Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 962

📚Combined (2)

Beaconhills College

Independent · Yrs Prep-12

ICSEA 1035

Lakeside College

Independent · Yrs Prep-12

ICSEA 1034

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime

16/ 100

11.9 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average

1000ICSEA · national avg 1000

12 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Excellent

95/ 100

🚆 4 train🚃 16 tram🚌 49 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

low

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in PAKENHAM

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