NSW2031Randwick

ST PAULS

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

45

Liveability score

72

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$1,400,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

Real

3.5%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

-16.4%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

1.4%

modelled estimate

AI insights for ST PAULS

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

ST PAULS shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$930/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+3.1%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-6.5

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

0.62%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

-0.8%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+7.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

47 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

2.7%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Moderate supply

5-year price history

2020
$1.4m
2021
$1.46m
2022
$3.1m
2023
$2.92m
2024
$1.68m
2025
$1.67m
2026
$1.4m

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

ST PAULS is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 3.5% with stable tenant demand
  • Very low vacancy rate — high rental demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$2,514/wk

$74k taxable p.a.

Renters

48.7%

48.7% owner-occupier

Median age

36.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.7%

Population growth

+0.9% p.a.

Investor-owned

17.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

33%

53% apartments

Degree qualified

52.6%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

38.1%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

200 m²

Compact block

Household size

2.3 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

16.1%

High Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

5.8 km

Middle ring

Days on market

27 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

58.9%

Balanced market

Walkability

29 / 100

Some errands walkable

Coastal proximity

5.8 km

Near coast

NBN technology

HFC

Fast — fibre to node + coaxial

Population density

9,435/km²

Very dense urban

Schools in postcode 2031

🏫7 Primary🎓3 Secondary📚1 Combined3 Special
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (7)

Claremont College

Independent · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1201(99%)
265 students13:1 student–teacher51% girls79% top SEA quarter

Coogee Boys' Preparatory School

Independent · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1165(97%)
102 students10:1 student–teacher0% girls70% top SEA quarter

Our Lady of the Sacred Heart Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1160(97%)
472 students16:1 student–teacher52% girls62% top SEA quarter

Randwick Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1155(96%)
853 students18:1 student–teacher51% girls63% top SEA quarter

St Anthony's Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1148(95%)
163 students15:1 student–teacher53% girls61% top SEA quarter

St Margaret Mary's Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1134(92%)
139 students12:1 student–teacher51% girls53% top SEA quarter

Rainbow Street Public School

Government · Yrs K-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1122(90%)
454 students16:1 student–teacher43% girls52% top SEA quarter

🎓Secondary (3)

Brigidine College Randwick

Catholic · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1114(88%)
851 students14:1 student–teacher100% girls46% top SEA quarter

Marcellin College

Catholic · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1100(84%)
964 students14:1 student–teacher0% girls39% top SEA quarter

Randwick High School

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1071(76%)
1,461 students13:1 student–teacher54% girls30% top SEA quarter

📚Combined (1)

Emanuel School

Independent · Yrs K-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1186(99%)
849 students10:1 student–teacher53% girls74% top SEA quarter

Special (3)

The Joseph Varga School

Independent · Yrs U · Major Cities

ICSEA 1119(89%)
8 students3:1 student–teacher25% girls44% top SEA quarter

Centennial Park School

Government · Yrs U · Major Cities

ICSEA 1055(70%)
53 students5:1 student–teacher58% girls29% top SEA quarter

Sydney Childrens Hospital School

Government · Major Cities

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate
71/ 100

3.1 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Top tier
1133ICSEA · national avg 1000

13 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Excellent
76/ 100
🚆 2 train🚃 3 tram🚌 23 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

44

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

low

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

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