VIC3922· Pop. 10,118Bass Coast

SUNDERLAND BAY

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$558,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

3.1%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-5.1%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

2.4%

modelled estimate

AI insights for SUNDERLAND BAY

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

SUNDERLAND BAY shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$330/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+0.7%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-1.0

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

5.65%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.1%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.6%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

50 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

0.8%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$435k

2021

$592k

2022

$670k

2023

$620k

2025

$558k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

SUNDERLAND BAY is a VIC suburb offering lower rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

Rental yield 3.1% with stable tenant demand
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,104/wk

$47k taxable p.a.

Renters

23.3%

71.8% owner-occupier

Median age

53.0 yrs

Unemployment

4.0%

Population growth

+1.5% p.a.

Investor-owned

14.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

82%

1% apartments

Degree qualified

24.8%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

17.1%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

2.8 ha

Large block

Household size

2.9 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

2.6%

Mostly long-term tenants

Market activity

Distance to CBD

78.0 km

Regional

Days on market

65 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

29.5%

Buyer's market

Walkability

1 / 100

Car-dependent

Coastal proximity

35.5 km

Inland

NBN technology

FTTN

Standard — fibre to node

Population density

117/km²

Low density

Schools in postcode 3922

🏫3 Primary

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (3)

Phillip Island Village School

Independent · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1071

Cowes Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1019

Our Lady Star of the Sea Catholic Primary School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 995

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime

30/ 100

10.6 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average

1028ICSEA · national avg 1000

3 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent

9/ 100

🚆 0 train🚌 4 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Stable / no signal

Established suburb with stable demographics. Consistent demand but lower gentrification upside.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

medium

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

medium

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in SUNDERLAND BAY

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