VIC3109Manningham

THE PINES

MaturePremium-priced suburb — lower upside but defensive and liquid

Investor score

55

Liveability score

72

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

Real

$1,660,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

Real

1.4%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

Real

0.9%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

Est.

1.9%

modelled estimate

AI insights for THE PINES

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

THE PINES shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$462/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+4.0%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

1.2

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

2.19%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.8%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+4.7%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

54 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

1.6%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Moderate supply

5-year price history

2020
$1.25m
2021
$1.5m
2022
$1.53m
2023
$1.63m
2025
$1.66m

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

THE PINES is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

  • Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
  • Rental yield 1.4% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • High entry price may limit buyer pool
  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,792/wk

$79k taxable p.a.

Renters

23.4%

73.3% owner-occupier

Median age

41.0 yrs

Unemployment

2.3%

Population growth

+2.3% p.a.

Investor-owned

23.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

68%

24% apartments

Degree qualified

36.0%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

25.3%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

540 m²

Standard block

Household size

2.4 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

7.2%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

17.7 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

22 days

Fast-moving market

Auction clearance

67.1%

Strong demand

Walkability

68 / 100

Very walkable

Coastal proximity

20.1 km

Coastal fringe

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

1,707/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 3109

🏫5 Primary🎓1 Secondary
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (5)

Beverley Hills Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1153(96%)
811 students17:1 student–teacher47% girls62% top SEA quarter

Doncaster Gardens Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1147(95%)
785 students16:1 student–teacher47% girls60% top SEA quarter

Milgate Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1144(94%)
742 students14:1 student–teacher45% girls58% top SEA quarter

Donburn Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1133(92%)
550 students16:1 student–teacher49% girls53% top SEA quarter

Ss Peter & Paul's School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1088(81%)
60 students9:1 student–teacher42% girls32% top SEA quarter

🎓Secondary (1)

East Doncaster Secondary College

Government · Yrs 7-12 · Major Cities

ICSEA 1124(90%)
2,211 students13:1 student–teacher44% girls50% top SEA quarter

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate
61/ 100

7.5 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Top tier
1132ICSEA · national avg 1000

6 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good
56/ 100
🚆 2 train🚃 9 tram🚌 29 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

32

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

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