NSW2769· Pop. 16,315Blacktown

THE PONDS

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,545,000

NSW VG · 2026

Rent yield

3.0%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-4.3%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.5%

modelled estimate

AI insights for THE PONDS

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

THE PONDS shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from NSW VG · 2026 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$900/wk

NSW Fair Trading · Apr 2026

Demand change

+4.4%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-0.6

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

1.52%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.0%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+9.1%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

48 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

4.0%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

High supply risk

5-year price history

2020

$1000k

2021

$1330k

2022

$1465k

2023

$515k

2024

$1620k

2025

$1614k

2026

$1545k

Source: NSW VG · 2026 · all sources

Market overview

THE PONDS is a metropolitan NSW suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

Metro NSW suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
Rental yield 3.0% with stable tenant demand
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

High entry price may limit buyer pool
Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$3,285/wk

$77k taxable p.a.

Renters

21.9%

74.3% owner-occupier

Median age

35.0 yrs

Unemployment

1.9%

Population growth

+1.3% p.a.

Investor-owned

29.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

60%

24% apartments

Degree qualified

50.7%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

20.0%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

430 m²

Compact block

Household size

2.3 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

5.1%

Some Airbnb activity

Market activity

Distance to CBD

33.4 km

Outer suburbs

Days on market

34 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

64.1%

Balanced market

Walkability

39 / 100

Some errands walkable

Coastal proximity

33.4 km

Inland

NBN technology

FTTC

Good — fibre to curb

Population density

1,231/km²

Suburban

Schools in postcode 2769

🏫2 Primary🎓1 Secondary⭐1 Special

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (2)

Riverbank Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1141

John Palmer Public School

Government · Yrs K-6

ICSEA 1125

🎓Secondary (1)

The Ponds High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1118

⭐Special (1)

The Ponds School

Government · Yrs U

ICSEA 1038

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe

87/ 100

1.4 offences / 100 persons

Source: NSW BOCSAR · 2024-25

School quality

Top tier

1106ICSEA · national avg 1000

4 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Limited

38/ 100

🚆 3 train🚌 40 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Moderate momentum

Moderate indicators of demographic change. Young professionals, rising degree rates, and reasonable transit suggest gradual improvement.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

none

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

none

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in THE PONDS

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