VIC3071· Pop. 19,005Darebin

THORNBURY

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$1,517,500

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

2.3%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

4.8%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.5%

modelled estimate

AI insights for THORNBURY

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

THORNBURY shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$657/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+1.6%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

3.5

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

0.93%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.9%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.9%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

49 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Real

0.3%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020

$1253k

2021

$1500k

2022

$1455k

2023

$1382k

2025

$1518k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

THORNBURY is a metropolitan VIC suburb with steady capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.

Highlights

Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
Rental yield 2.3% with stable tenant demand
Consistent annual growth of 4.8%
Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

High entry price may limit buyer pool
Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,971/wk

$74k taxable p.a.

Renters

41.9%

55.9% owner-occupier

Median age

37.0 yrs

Unemployment

3.9%

Population growth

+1.6% p.a.

Investor-owned

15.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

32%

59% apartments

Degree qualified

53.3%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

21.2%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

210 m²

Compact block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

13.7%

Active STR market

Market activity

Distance to CBD

7.2 km

Middle ring

Days on market

31 days

Normal turnover

Auction clearance

64.9%

Balanced market

Walkability

78 / 100

Walker's paradise

Coastal proximity

6.5 km

Near coast

NBN technology

FTTP

Fastest — full fibre to premises

Population density

6,046/km²

Very dense urban

Schools in postcode 3071

🏫5 Primary🎓1 Secondary📚1 Combined

ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (5)

Wales Street Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1140

Holy Spirit School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1107

Thornbury Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1093

St Mary's School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1089

Penders Grove Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1021

🎓Secondary (1)

Thornbury High School

Government · Yrs 7-12

ICSEA 1067

📚Combined (1)

Virtual School Victoria

Government · Yrs Prep-12

ICSEA 1073

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

High crime

52/ 100

8.4 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Above average

1084ICSEA · national avg 1000

7 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Good

64/ 100

🚆 2 train🚃 4 tram🚌 29 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

/ 100

Moderate momentum

Moderate indicators of demographic change. Young professionals, rising degree rates, and reasonable transit suggest gradual improvement.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

low

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

low

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

Fetching live data…

Location

Properties in THORNBURY

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