UPPER FERNTREE GULLY
Investor score
53
Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.
Median price
$821,200
VIC Gov · 2025
Rent yield
2.5%
computed from govt data
Annual growth
-1.8%
annualised from govt data
Vacancy rate
2.0%
modelled estimate
AI insights for UPPER FERNTREE GULLY
Investment analysis, risks & comparisons
UPPER FERNTREE GULLY shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.
Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.
Median rent
$390/wk
DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025
Demand change
+3.8%
annual shift
Yield × growth index
0.3
combined signal
Net yield (est.)
2.37%
after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance
5-yr growth (CAGR)
+2.2%
est. compound, long-run avg
10-yr growth (CAGR)
+4.6%
est. compound, long-run avg
Rental demand
52 / 100
Moderate demand
Supply pipeline
Est.1.5%
new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate
Moderate supply
5-year price history
Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources
Market overview
UPPER FERNTREE GULLY is a metropolitan VIC suburb with moderate capital growth momentum and lower rental yield. Strong infrastructure, employment access, and lifestyle amenities support ongoing investment demand.
Highlights
- Metro VIC suburb with strong infrastructure and transport
- Rental yield 2.5% with stable tenant demand
- Access to national transport network and amenities
Risk factors
- Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
- Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions
Community profile
Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23Median household income
$1,948/wk
$78k taxable p.a.
Renters
18.1%
79.6% owner-occupier
Median age
40.0 yrs
Unemployment
3.3%
Population growth
+2.1% p.a.
Investor-owned
14.0%
of all dwellings (ATO)
Houses
66%
24% apartments
Degree qualified
40.1%
bachelor's or higher (ABS)
Work from home
27.1%
of employed residents (ABS Census)
Median lot size
570 m²
Standard block
Household size
2.4 persons
avg per dwelling (ABS Census)
Short-term rental
7.1%
Some Airbnb activity
Market activity
Distance to CBD
31.2 km
Outer suburbs
Days on market
27 days
Normal turnover
Auction clearance
67.6%
Strong demand
Walkability
69 / 100
Very walkable
Coastal proximity
24.6 km
Coastal fringe
NBN technology
FTTNStandard — fibre to node
Population density
1,737/km²
Suburban
Schools in postcode 3156
🏫Primary (8)
St John the Baptist School
Catholic · Yrs Prep-6
Mountain Gate Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6
Lysterfield Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6
Ferntree Gully North Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6
Upper Ferntree Gully Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6
Kent Park Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6
Wattle View Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6
Fairhills Primary School
Government · Yrs Prep-6
🎓Secondary (2)
St Joseph's College
Catholic · Yrs 7-12
The Avenue School
Independent · Yrs 11
📚Combined (1)
Heritage College Knox
Independent · Yrs Prep-12
⭐Special (1)
Eastern Ranges School
Government · Yrs U
ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.
Liveability & safety
Safety index
Safe4.7 offences / 100 persons
Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025
School quality
Average12 schools in postcode area
Source: ACARA My School 2025
Transit access
ExcellentSource: State GTFS feeds
Gentrification signal
33
/ 100
Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.
Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality
Environmental risk
Flood risk
Source: State GIS flood zone data
Bushfire risk
Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data
Storm risk
Coastal exposure + state climate
Live suburb intelligence
Fetching live data…Location
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