VIC3505· Pop. 5,010Mildura

WARGAN

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

46

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$439,300

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

2.6%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

21.0%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.6%

modelled estimate

AI insights for WARGAN

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

WARGAN shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$220/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+1.2%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

11.8

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

3.31%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+16.9%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+6.3%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

41 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Real

0.9%

new dwellings approved / stock · ABS 2024-25

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$202k
2021
$228k
2022
$320k
2023
$300k
2025
$439k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

WARGAN is a VIC suburb offering lower rental yield and strong price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

  • Rental yield 2.6% with stable tenant demand
  • High annual growth of 21.0% — outperforming state average
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,338/wk

$36k taxable p.a.

Renters

16.3%

79.0% owner-occupier

Median age

43.0 yrs

Unemployment

6.9%

Population growth

+0.5% p.a.

Investor-owned

10.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

77%

6% apartments

Degree qualified

30.9%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

12.0%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

1.4 ha

Large block

Household size

2.7 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

1.9%

Mostly long-term tenants

Market activity

Distance to CBD

483.7 km

Regional

Days on market

80 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

40.8%

Buyer's market

Walkability

31 / 100

Some errands walkable

Coastal proximity

330.5 km

Inland

NBN technology

Fixed Wireless

Regional — wireless tower

Population density

90/km²

Rural / semi-rural

Schools in postcode 3505

🏫2 Primary📚1 Combined
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (2)

Our Lady of the Sacred Heart School

Catholic · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 1006

The Lake Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 986

📚Combined (1)

Merbein P-10 College

Government · Yrs Prep-10

ICSEA 944

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Moderate
67/ 100

6.9 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average
979ICSEA · national avg 1000

3 schools in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Limited
26/ 100
🚆 1 train🚌 1 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

33

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

none

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

none

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in WARGAN

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