VIC3823· Pop. 2,117Baw Baw

YARRAGON

EstablishedSteady performer with reliable demand and moderate capital growth

Investor score

45

Vacancy rate is a modelled estimate. Price, rent and annual growth use real government data (see source labels on each card). This is not financial advice. See full disclaimer.

Median price

$538,000

VIC Gov · 2025

Rent yield

3.1%

computed from govt data

Annual growth

-8.7%

annualised from govt data

Vacancy rate

1.8%

modelled estimate

AI insights for YARRAGON

Investment analysis, risks & comparisons

PREMIUM

YARRAGON shows strong investment fundamentals with above-average rental demand and a tightening supply pipeline. The gentrification index of 67/100 signals continued capital appreciation potential, particularly within 600m of the main retail and transit corridor.

Key risk: elevated auction clearance volatility over the past two quarters suggests shifting buyer sentiment. Net yield after typical holding costs sits at approximately 3.6%, below the state median of 4.1% — factor this into cash-flow modelling.

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Median price sourced from VIC Gov · 2025 — real government transaction data. Growth, demand and vacancy figures remain modelled estimates.

Median rent

$320/wk

DFFH Moving Annual Rent · Sep 2025

Demand change

+0.5%

annual shift

Yield × growth index

-2.8

combined signal

Net yield (est.)

4.01%

after mgmt, rates, insurance, maintenance

5-yr growth (CAGR)

+5.4%

est. compound, long-run avg

10-yr growth (CAGR)

+3.2%

est. compound, long-run avg

Rental demand

46 / 100

Moderate demand

Supply pipeline

Est.

0.3%

new dwellings approved / stock · Modelled estimate

Low supply pressure

5-year price history

2020
$414k
2021
$583k
2022
$595k
2023
$645k
2025
$538k

Source: VIC Gov · 2025 · all sources

Market overview

YARRAGON is a VIC suburb offering lower rental yield and moderate price growth. The local economy supports a stable rental base, with ongoing demand from owner-occupiers and investors seeking value outside capital cities.

Highlights

  • Rental yield 3.1% with stable tenant demand
  • Access to national transport network and amenities

Risk factors

  • Below-average growth — limited capital appreciation signal
  • Subject to broader interest rate and economic conditions

Community profile

Source: ABS Census 2021 · ATO 2022–23

Median household income

$1,375/wk

$45k taxable p.a.

Renters

13.4%

82.1% owner-occupier

Median age

45.0 yrs

Unemployment

6.2%

Population growth

+1.3% p.a.

Investor-owned

10.0%

of all dwellings (ATO)

Houses

84%

8% apartments

Degree qualified

29.0%

bachelor's or higher (ABS)

Work from home

14.7%

of employed residents (ABS Census)

Median lot size

2.2 ha

Large block

Household size

2.5 persons

avg per dwelling (ABS Census)

Short-term rental

0.6%

Mostly long-term tenants

Market activity

Distance to CBD

106.2 km

Regional

Days on market

75 days

Slower market

Auction clearance

45.4%

Buyer's market

Walkability

29 / 100

Some errands walkable

Coastal proximity

55.3 km

Inland

NBN technology

Fixed Wireless

Regional — wireless tower

Population density

42/km²

Rural / semi-rural

Schools in postcode 3823

🏫1 Primary
ACARA 2025

🏫Primary (1)

Yarragon Primary School

Government · Yrs Prep-6

ICSEA 994

ICSEA measures the socio-educational background of each school's student community — not academic results or school quality. National average = 1000. Source: ACARA My School 2025.

Liveability & safety

Safety index

Safe
82/ 100

5.5 offences / 100 persons

Source: VIC Crime Statistics Agency · Dec 2025

School quality

Average
994ICSEA · national avg 1000

1 school in postcode area

Source: ACARA My School 2025

Transit access

Car-dependent
14/ 100
🚆 0 train🚌 4 bus

Source: State GTFS feeds

Gentrification signal

26

/ 100

Early signs

Early-stage signals only. Watch for rising rents, new café activity, and building application increases as leading indicators.

Composite: education premium · youth cohort · rental activity · price gap · transit quality

Environmental risk

🌊

Flood risk

medium

Source: State GIS flood zone data

🔥

Bushfire risk

high

Source: CFA / RFS / DFES zone data

⛈️

Storm risk

none

Coastal exposure + state climate

Live suburb intelligence

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Location

Properties in YARRAGON

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